Monday, December 27, 2010

Lil Silly Lock of the Day - Two is better than One

Carrying over the momentum from last night, I have two games tonight that I see as can't miss.

First of all, let's look at this Monday Night Football game.

The line is Falcons -2.5 right now.  Atlanta is 19-1 at home with Matt Ryan at quarterback and 6-0 ATS at home this year. The Saints are 5-2 on the road this year, but only 1-5 as road underdogs ATS.

New Orleans' run defense is suspect at best and Michael Turner should have no issues getting his tonight.  I think this will be the difference in the game, as the run will set up Matt Ryan to execute the play action and take advantage of a Saints defense that has certainly regressed since last year.

I know the Saints are playing for a playoff spot so they will be jacked up, but the Falcons can clinch home field throughout the playoffs with a win tonight so they will be just as amped for this game. I am super confident Atlanta wins, but the only thing that worries me is a one or two point win on a late FG.

Take Atlanta -140 ML tonight and watch Matt Ryan improve his home record to 20-1.

Now on to college basketball.  Vegas has given us a gift tonight in the UConn vs. Pittsburgh showdown in the Big East.  UConn has been fantastic this season lead by Kemba Walker, but they were not supposed to be this good this quickly as they are the 8th youngest team in the nation.  Pitt on the other hand is experienced and talented, and they are returning home to an arena in which they dominate.

Take Pitt -7 tonight and watch them get out to an early lead and hold it.


UPDATE 12/28 12:42 AM

Final Score: Saints 17 - Falcons 14
Well both Matt Ryan and Michael Turner played poorly tonight, highlighted by an unbelievable goal line fumble by Turner, so the Saints went on to win this one.

Final Score: Pitt 78 - UConn 63
This one was easy. Like I predicted, Pitt controlled this one from the beginning. UConn did impress me a bit though, Kemba walker is a player for sure and they have talent. Pitt is great, a final four quality team.

Lil Silly Locks: 2-1

1 comment:

  1. You are so Silly! Don't bet against Kemba Walker. First of all he is from the Bronx, a low key BX borough Terror Squad member. Secondly, he is averaging like 26 points a game and cannot be stopped. Just watch.

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